Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 Vol.
$37,087 Vol.
24 mai 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 Vol.
$37,087 Vol.
24 mai 2026
57°F or below
$3,879 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,428 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$781 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,908 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,966 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,258 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,113 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,537 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,405 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,343 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$9,467 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$37,087Data de Término
24 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,087Data de Término
24 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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