Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 8 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 8 de julho?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 Vol.
$90,017 Vol.
8 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 Vol.
$90,017 Vol.
8 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
$4,110 Vol.
Não
17°C
$4,014 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,468 Vol.
Não
19°C
$5,692 Vol.
Não
20°C
$12,425 Vol.
Não
21°C
$22,637 Vol.
Não
22°C
$16,274 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$11,037 Vol.
Não
24°C
$2,906 Vol.
Não
25°C
$3,945 Vol.
Não
26°C ou mais
$2,508 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$90,017Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,017Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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