Current forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources point to a stable cold air mass and clear skies consolidating over Buenos Aires on August 7, limiting daytime warming to a high of 13–15°C amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This seasonal baseline, with August averages near 17°C but recent cool advection keeping readings lower, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (53% implied probability) and 13°C (32.5%). Minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover introduce the smaller chances for 15°C, while historical August extremes above 18°C remain unlikely given the entrenched high-pressure pattern. Updated official observations through the afternoon will determine the precise maximum and any late adjustments in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 7 de agosto?
14°C 51%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
12°C 8%
$22,746 Vol.
$22,746 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
33%
14°C
51%
15°C
12%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
12°C 8%
$22,746 Vol.
$22,746 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
33%
14°C
51%
15°C
12%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources point to a stable cold air mass and clear skies consolidating over Buenos Aires on August 7, limiting daytime warming to a high of 13–15°C amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This seasonal baseline, with August averages near 17°C but recent cool advection keeping readings lower, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (53% implied probability) and 13°C (32.5%). Minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover introduce the smaller chances for 15°C, while historical August extremes above 18°C remain unlikely given the entrenched high-pressure pattern. Updated official observations through the afternoon will determine the precise maximum and any late adjustments in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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