Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 15 de junho?
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$52,395 Vol.
$52,395 Vol.
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 29°C in Busan on June 15, 2026, under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula. Ensemble model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, consistent with mid-June climatology where average highs typically reach 28–29°C. Traders have aligned on this outcome at near-100% implied probability given the convergence of observational data and short-range guidance, with resolution thresholds tied to official daily maximum readings. An unexpected wind shift or localized heating could nudge temperatures to 30°C, though current conditions indicate low odds of such deviations before final measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions