Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,530 Vol.
$67,530 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations from Gimhae International Airport Station—the official resolution source—confirm Busan's high temperature peaked at 21°C this afternoon amid clear skies and light southwest winds, precisely matching short-range forecast model consensus released in the past 24 hours. This mild peak aligns with early May climatology for Busan, where average highs range 20–22°C under typical high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover, following cooler recent days with highs near 19°C. Trader-implied 100% probability on 21°C reflects this robust evidence-based consensus, with skin-in-the-game positioning. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon solar heating spike before sunset or a rare observational revision, though KMA data updates later today will finalize the record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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