Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources point to a cool Atlantic-influenced air mass arriving ahead of July 14, with southeasterly winds and potential cloud cover suppressing daytime warming. Historical July maxima in Cape Town average near 17°C, yet recent days have shown variability tied to cold fronts, keeping trader focus on the 15–17°C range where odds cluster tightly. Key resolution factors include the official maximum recorded at standard stations, influenced by sea-surface temperatures around 15°C and minimal solar heating in mid-winter. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine whether a brief clear spell pushes the high toward 17°C or keeps it capped near 15–16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 14 de julho?
16°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$61,177 Vol.
$61,177 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
16°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$61,177 Vol.
$61,177 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources point to a cool Atlantic-influenced air mass arriving ahead of July 14, with southeasterly winds and potential cloud cover suppressing daytime warming. Historical July maxima in Cape Town average near 17°C, yet recent days have shown variability tied to cold fronts, keeping trader focus on the 15–17°C range where odds cluster tightly. Key resolution factors include the official maximum recorded at standard stations, influenced by sea-surface temperatures around 15°C and minimal solar heating in mid-winter. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine whether a brief clear spell pushes the high toward 17°C or keeps it capped near 15–16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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