**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's July 17 maximum temperature centers on short-range forecast model outputs and mid-winter climatology.** With the market-implied probability highest for 19 °C (31 %) followed by 18 °C (25 %), traders are pricing outcomes near the long-term July average high of roughly 17–18 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any passing Atlantic cold fronts, which can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4 °C through increased cloud cover and onshore flow, versus clearer conditions under a ridging high-pressure system that allows modest warming. Sea-surface temperatures around 15–16 °C anchor the lower bound, while localized orographic effects from Table Mountain can produce brief temperature variations of 1–2 °C across the city. Model consensus currently favors a stable, near-average pattern without strong warm advection or intense frontal passage in the 48-hour window, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 17 °C and 20 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 24 hours will be the next major catalyst for price movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 17 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 17 de julho?
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$49,234 Vol.
$49,234 Vol.
17 jul 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$49,234 Vol.
$49,234 Vol.
17 jul 2026
15°C ou menos
$5,601 Vol.
Não
16°C
$6,200 Vol.
Não
17°C
$5,443 Vol.
Não
18°C
$5,133 Vol.
Não
19°C
$8,950 Vol.
Não
20°C
$8,701 Vol.
Sim
21°C
$4,068 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,790 Vol.
Não
23°C
$2,227 Vol.
Não
24°C
$709 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$411 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's July 17 maximum temperature centers on short-range forecast model outputs and mid-winter climatology.** With the market-implied probability highest for 19 °C (31 %) followed by 18 °C (25 %), traders are pricing outcomes near the long-term July average high of roughly 17–18 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any passing Atlantic cold fronts, which can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4 °C through increased cloud cover and onshore flow, versus clearer conditions under a ridging high-pressure system that allows modest warming. Sea-surface temperatures around 15–16 °C anchor the lower bound, while localized orographic effects from Table Mountain can produce brief temperature variations of 1–2 °C across the city. Model consensus currently favors a stable, near-average pattern without strong warm advection or intense frontal passage in the 48-hour window, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 17 °C and 20 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 24 hours will be the next major catalyst for price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$49,234Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's July 17 maximum temperature centers on short-range forecast model outputs and mid-winter climatology.** With the market-implied probability highest for 19 °C (31 %) followed by 18 °C (25 %), traders are pricing outcomes near the long-term July average high of roughly 17–18 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any passing Atlantic cold fronts, which can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4 °C through increased cloud cover and onshore flow, versus clearer conditions under a ridging high-pressure system that allows modest warming. Sea-surface temperatures around 15–16 °C anchor the lower bound, while localized orographic effects from Table Mountain can produce brief temperature variations of 1–2 °C across the city. Model consensus currently favors a stable, near-average pattern without strong warm advection or intense frontal passage in the 48-hour window, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 17 °C and 20 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 24 hours will be the next major catalyst for price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,234Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's July 17 maximum temperature centers on short-range forecast model outputs and mid-winter climatology.** With the market-implied probability highest for 19 °C (31 %) followed by 18 °C (25 %), traders are pricing outcomes near the long-term July average high of roughly 17–18 °C. Key differentiating factors include the timing and strength of any passing Atlantic cold fronts, which can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4 °C through increased cloud cover and onshore flow, versus clearer conditions under a ridging high-pressure system that allows modest warming. Sea-surface temperatures around 15–16 °C anchor the lower bound, while localized orographic effects from Table Mountain can produce brief temperature variations of 1–2 °C across the city. Model consensus currently favors a stable, near-average pattern without strong warm advection or intense frontal passage in the 48-hour window, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 17 °C and 20 °C. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 24 hours will be the next major catalyst for price movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions