Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 4 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 4 de maio?
19°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 Vol.
$43,121 Vol.
4 mai 2026
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,121 Vol.
$43,121 Vol.
4 mai 2026
13°C ou menos
$870 Vol.
Não
14°C
$540 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,169 Vol.
Não
16°C
$7,292 Vol.
Não
17°C
$4,203 Vol.
Não
18°C
$8,677 Vol.
Não
19°C
$7,487 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$5,714 Vol.
Não
21°C
$4,150 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,734 Vol.
Não
23°C ou mais
$1,284 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$43,121Data de Término
4 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,121Data de Término
4 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. An intense cut-off low-pressure system, as tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), dominated the region with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating westerly winds, suppressing daytime heating below May's typical highs of 20–22°C amid autumn cooling trends. This aligns with forecast model consensus prior to the date, emphasizing atmospheric stability over convective activity. Realistic challenges are negligible, requiring only a rare official data revision from SAWS, which has not occurred.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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