Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 21 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 21 de maio?
33°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 Vol.
$40,309 Vol.
21 mai 2026
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 Vol.
$40,309 Vol.
21 mai 2026
24°C ou menos
$353 Vol.
Não
25°C
$650 Vol.
Não
26°C
$983 Vol.
Não
27°C
$748 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,556 Vol.
Não
29°C
$5,162 Vol.
Não
30°C
$6,377 Vol.
Não
31°C
$2,998 Vol.
Não
32°C
$7,898 Vol.
Não
33°C
$5,885 Vol.
Sim
34°C ou mais
$7,700 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$40,309Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,309Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions