Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Vol.
$86,052 Vol.
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Vol.
$86,052 Vol.
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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