Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience moderating temperatures on June 25 under a post-frontal airmass with northeast flow and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers, keeping the daily maximum well below seasonal normals near 85–90 °F. This pattern explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 72–79 °F, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or downslope warming from the Front Range can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical climatology shows June highs typically rise with strong solar insolation and westerly flow, but current steering patterns favor cooler northeast advection and reduced surface heating. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model trends through tonight, as those will refine whether the high settles in the mid-70s or edges toward the upper 70s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on June 25?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$55,587 Vol.
$55,587 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$55,587 Vol.
$55,587 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience moderating temperatures on June 25 under a post-frontal airmass with northeast flow and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers, keeping the daily maximum well below seasonal normals near 85–90 °F. This pattern explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 72–79 °F, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or downslope warming from the Front Range can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical climatology shows June highs typically rise with strong solar insolation and westerly flow, but current steering patterns favor cooler northeast advection and reduced surface heating. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model trends through tonight, as those will refine whether the high settles in the mid-70s or edges toward the upper 70s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions