**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 9 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 9 de julho?
28°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,080 Vol.
$133,080 Vol.
9 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
28°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,080 Vol.
$133,080 Vol.
9 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
$2,703 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,619 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,880 Vol.
Não
24°C
$3,770 Vol.
Não
25°C
$5,134 Vol.
Não
26°C
$9,239 Vol.
Não
27°C
$13,530 Vol.
Não
28°C
$31,871 Vol.
Sim
29°C
$17,916 Vol.
Não
30°C
$18,411 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$27,007 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$133,080Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133,080Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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