Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 9 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 9 de julho?
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Vol.
$128,891 Vol.
9 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Vol.
$128,891 Vol.
9 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
$3,325 Vol.
Não
21°C
$4,999 Vol.
Não
22°C
$13,456 Vol.
Não
23°C
$63,211 Vol.
Não
24°C
$7,034 Vol.
Sim
25°C
$9,283 Vol.
Não
26°C
$6,883 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,846 Vol.
Não
28°C
$4,943 Vol.
Não
29°C
$4,408 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$6,501 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$128,891Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128,891Data de Término
9 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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