Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 7 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 7 de junho?
35°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
7 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C ou mais
Não
35°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
7 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,963 Vol.
Não
27°C
$215 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,673 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,885 Vol.
Não
30°C
$4,428 Vol.
Não
31°C
$4,490 Vol.
Não
32°C
$4,084 Vol.
Não
33°C
$4,188 Vol.
Não
34°C
$37,117 Vol.
Não
35°C
$18,855 Vol.
Sim
36°C ou mais
$30,724 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$110,621Data de Término
7 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,621Data de Término
7 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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