Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 20?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$36,418 Vol.
$36,418 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical models indicate a daytime maximum of 31°C for Guangzhou on May 20, supported by persistent cloud cover, moderate moisture from the Pearl River Delta, and limited solar heating that caps convective warming. This positioning aligns with climatological May averages near 30–32°C while reflecting the latest model consensus that rules out stronger afternoon peaks. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, treats this as the most probable verified reading from the Guangzhou Baiyun station. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow temperatures to exceed 32°C, though current atmospheric conditions make that outcome unlikely before the daily peak resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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