Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 19 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 19 de julho?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
19 jul 2026
83°F ou menos
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Sim
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102°F ou mais
Não
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$27,233 Vol.
$27,233 Vol.
19 jul 2026
83°F ou menos
$413 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$370 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$1,415 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$884 Vol.
Não
32-33°C
$2,124 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$5,787 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$7,278 Vol.
Sim
96-97°F
$3,482 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$2,852 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$1,542 Vol.
Não
102°F ou mais
$1,085 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$27,233Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,233Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service normals and extended-range guidance place Houston's typical mid-July daily maximum near 95°F under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. AccuWeather's July 2026 outlook shows highs consistently between 94–97°F through the period, with no strong frontal passages or tropical moisture surges expected to alter the pattern before July 19. Model consensus from recent runs maintains this narrow band, reflecting typical climatological stability for the date and the absence of significant short-term variability in steering flow or moisture. Trader emphasis on the 94–95°F bin therefore tracks both the official normal and the most probable outcome window, while the modest probabilities attached to 96–97°F capture the chance of slightly enhanced subsidence or clearer conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions