Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 Vol.
$58,001 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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Cuidado com os links externos.
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