Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 17 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 17 de junho?
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 Vol.
$46,494 Vol.
17 jun 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 Vol.
$46,494 Vol.
17 jun 2026
19°C ou menos
$321 Vol.
Não
20°C
$1,015 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,680 Vol.
Não
22°C
$4,072 Vol.
Não
23°C
$9,958 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$8,086 Vol.
Não
25°C
$5,926 Vol.
Não
26°C
$4,978 Vol.
Não
27°C
$3,826 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,948 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$2,685 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$46,494Data de Término
17 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,494Data de Término
17 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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