Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 31.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on April 18, reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of berawan (overcast) conditions with daytime ranges of 24–30°C across central and southern districts and 70–95% rain chances, yet adjusted upward by recent observations of 31–33°C highs amid variable cloud cover this week. Key variables include solar insolation reduced by persistent clouds and potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and sea breeze moderation enabling 34°C if skies partially clear. Historical April averages near 32°C and short-range forecast uncertainty of ±2°C underpin the spread, with BMKG's next update expected to clarify convective activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
33°C 32%
32°C 24%
34°C 24%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
32°C 24%
34°C 24%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
$655 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$261 Vol.
1%
29°C
$144 Vol.
3%
30°C
$76 Vol.
4%
31°C
$42 Vol.
12%
32°C
$43 Vol.
24%
33°C
$10 Vol.
32%
34°C
$31 Vol.
24%
35°C
$23 Vol.
11%
36°C
$34 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 31.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on April 18, reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of berawan (overcast) conditions with daytime ranges of 24–30°C across central and southern districts and 70–95% rain chances, yet adjusted upward by recent observations of 31–33°C highs amid variable cloud cover this week. Key variables include solar insolation reduced by persistent clouds and potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and sea breeze moderation enabling 34°C if skies partially clear. Historical April averages near 32°C and short-range forecast uncertainty of ±2°C underpin the spread, with BMKG's next update expected to clarify convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,441Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 31.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on April 18, reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of berawan (overcast) conditions with daytime ranges of 24–30°C across central and southern districts and 70–95% rain chances, yet adjusted upward by recent observations of 31–33°C highs amid variable cloud cover this week. Key variables include solar insolation reduced by persistent clouds and potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and sea breeze moderation enabling 34°C if skies partially clear. Historical April averages near 32°C and short-range forecast uncertainty of ±2°C underpin the spread, with BMKG's next update expected to clarify convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,441Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 31.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on April 18, reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of berawan (overcast) conditions with daytime ranges of 24–30°C across central and southern districts and 70–95% rain chances, yet adjusted upward by recent observations of 31–33°C highs amid variable cloud cover this week. Key variables include solar insolation reduced by persistent clouds and potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and sea breeze moderation enabling 34°C if skies partially clear. Historical April averages near 32°C and short-range forecast uncertainty of ±2°C underpin the spread, with BMKG's next update expected to clarify convective activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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