Recent model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services project a high near 29–30°C for Jinan on August 29, driven by warm late-summer air masses, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime cloud cover despite scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for the region and explains the market's 95.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Lower outcomes remain possible only if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected or steering patterns shift, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling. Updated model runs and any revised local advisories will be the key near-term data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 29 de agosto?
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 5%
25°C 4%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 5%
25°C 4%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services project a high near 29–30°C for Jinan on August 29, driven by warm late-summer air masses, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime cloud cover despite scattered showers. This aligns with climatological norms for the region and explains the market's 95.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Lower outcomes remain possible only if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected or steering patterns shift, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such cooling. Updated model runs and any revised local advisories will be the key near-term data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions