Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
35°C 43%
34°C 42%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C
42%
35°C
43%
36°C
26%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 43%
34°C 42%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
28°C or below
$194 Vol.
2%
29°C
$189 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
42%
35°C
$19 Vol.
43%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
8%
38°C or higher
$194 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$598Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$598Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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