Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lagos no dia 18 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Lagos no dia 18 de abril?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Vol.
$223,428 Vol.
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$223,428 Vol.
$223,428 Vol.
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
$6,643 Vol.
No
28°C
$68,518 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,677 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,066 Vol.
No
31°C
$29,686 Vol.
No
32°C
$38,920 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,885 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,196 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$6,518 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,311 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,008 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Volume
$223,428Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$223,428Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 34°C as Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station via Weather Underground, recording a peak of 34°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing air temperatures reaching 34–35°C, consistent with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal warmth in southern Nigeria during April, where historical highs average 32°C but low rainfall and high solar insolation enabled modest heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-finalization data revisions from the official source, as model ensembles like GFS had projected 32–34°C maxima beforehand.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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