Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 17?
Highest temperature in London on April 17?
18°C 34%
17°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C
31%
18°C
34%
19°C
24%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
17°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
$342 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$441 Vol.
1%
14°C
$285 Vol.
2%
15°C
$443 Vol.
3%
16°C
$471 Vol.
8%
17°C
$131 Vol.
31%
18°C
$126 Vol.
34%
19°C
$99 Vol.
24%
20°C
$124 Vol.
6%
21°C
$91 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$494 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,897Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,897Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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