Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and central sites, confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 13°C around 1 p.m. local time, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This reflects cooler post-warm-spell conditions after early April's record 26.6°C peak in Kew Gardens, driven by shifting high-pressure systems and increased cloud cover, with forecast models like the UKV accurately projecting highs near 13–14°C amid typical spring variability. While final data audits are routine, a realistic challenge would require verified evidence of an overlooked higher reading from a compliant station, though historical precedents show such revisions are rare for settled daily maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 20?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$219,474 Vol.
$219,474 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$219,474 Vol.
$219,474 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and central sites, confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 13°C around 1 p.m. local time, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This reflects cooler post-warm-spell conditions after early April's record 26.6°C peak in Kew Gardens, driven by shifting high-pressure systems and increased cloud cover, with forecast models like the UKV accurately projecting highs near 13–14°C amid typical spring variability. While final data audits are routine, a realistic challenge would require verified evidence of an overlooked higher reading from a compliant station, though historical precedents show such revisions are rare for settled daily maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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