Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 81%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 9%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
81%
72°F or higher 81%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 9%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability of 72°F or higher as the highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion from April 15, which anticipates 3-5°F warming along coastal areas due to downsloping winds off the mountains amid a building high-pressure ridge and reduced cool air advection. After cooler mid-week highs near 59°F on April 13 and rebounding to 68-69°F on April 14, model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-70s under lighter onshore flow and quicker marine layer burn-off. Uncertainty persists from potential persistent coastal stratus, with daily NWS updates and 18z model runs expected to refine land-based temperature trajectories at stations like KLAX or USC. Historical April averages hover around 70°F, contextualizing the favorable odds for above-normal warmth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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