Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions