Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 12 de julho?
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,104 Vol.
$67,104 Vol.
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,104 Vol.
$67,104 Vol.
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a July 12 high near 29°C amid monsoon conditions and rain showers, tempering expectations versus the long-term July average of 31°C. Traders weigh these official projections and ensemble model consensus against historical variability, urban heat island effects, and potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing that could push daytime maxima into the low 30s or hold them at 28–29°C. High humidity and cloud cover further limit radiative heating, while short-range updates expected from PAGASA and global models in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities around the tightly clustered 30–31°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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