Current forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 19 de agosto?
26°C 49%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
49%
27°C
24%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 24%
25°C 20%
24°C 6%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
20%
26°C
49%
27°C
24%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies tracking Mexico City's subtropical highland conditions point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C for August 19, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates extremes and typical mid-August convective cloud cover with afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C peak on August 16 under partly clearer skies, illustrate how reduced rainfall can push readings higher while persistent moisture and the North American monsoon influence keep most days capped below 28°C. Trader consensus around these thresholds reflects historical climatology showing average August highs of 24–25°C, with limited upside potential absent unusual subsidence or drier steering patterns. Updated model runs and official station data expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities tied to precise maximum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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