Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 12 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 12 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,314 Vol.
$56,314 Vol.
12 jul 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,314 Vol.
$56,314 Vol.
12 jul 2026
28°C or below
$927 Vol.
No
29°C
$277 Vol.
No
30°C
$523 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,274 Vol.
No
32°C
$30,081 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,875 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,874 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,180 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,577 Vol.
No
37°C
$391 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$336 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$56,314Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,314Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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