**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$90,220 Vol.
$90,220 Vol.
6 jul 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$90,220 Vol.
$90,220 Vol.
6 jul 2026
32°C or below
$42,413 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,459 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$13,669 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,168 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,277 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,964 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,278 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,569 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,469 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,435 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$1,519 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$90,220Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,220Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions