Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 1?
30°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 Vol.
$45,160 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions