Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 18 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 18 de julho?
29°C 46%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
27°C 6.0%
NOVO
$18,722 Vol.
NOVO
$18,722 Vol.
18 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 46%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
27°C 6.0%
NOVO
$18,722 Vol.
NOVO
$18,722 Vol.
18 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$862 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,304 Vol.
1%
26°C
$949 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,415 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,494 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,804 Vol.
46%
30°C
$2,906 Vol.
22%
31°C
$1,183 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,193 Vol.
1%
33°C
$828 Vol.
1%
34°C ou mais
$3,787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,722Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,722Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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