Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate Moscow's September 7 maximum will likely fall in the 11–14 °C range, with 12 °C currently favored by traders. A northwestward shift in the steering flow is advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal system, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit insolation and daytime warming. This setup produces daytime anomalies several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of precipitation bands, keeping probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C closely bunched. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 7 de setembro?
12°C 35%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
6°C ou menos
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
27%
12°C
35%
13°C
28%
14°C
8%
15°C
17%
16°C ou mais
4%
12°C 35%
13°C 28%
11°C 27%
15°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
7°C
$0 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
5%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$27 Vol.
35%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate Moscow's September 7 maximum will likely fall in the 11–14 °C range, with 12 °C currently favored by traders. A northwestward shift in the steering flow is advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal system, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit insolation and daytime warming. This setup produces daytime anomalies several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of precipitation bands, keeping probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C closely bunched. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate Moscow's September 7 maximum will likely fall in the 11–14 °C range, with 12 °C currently favored by traders. A northwestward shift in the steering flow is advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal system, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit insolation and daytime warming. This setup produces daytime anomalies several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of precipitation bands, keeping probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C closely bunched. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and numerical models indicate Moscow's September 7 maximum will likely fall in the 11–14 °C range, with 12 °C currently favored by traders. A northwestward shift in the steering flow is advecting cooler maritime air behind a frontal system, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit insolation and daytime warming. This setup produces daytime anomalies several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological high of 18 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of precipitation bands, keeping probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C closely bunched. Updated model runs and official briefings expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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