Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 12 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 12 de julho?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$108,826 Vol.
$108,826 Vol.
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$108,826 Vol.
$108,826 Vol.
12 jul 2026
23°C or below
$1,129 Vol.
No
24°C
$297 Vol.
No
25°C
$464 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,503 Vol.
No
27°C
$73,494 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,614 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$9,505 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,871 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,604 Vol.
No
32°C
$865 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$481 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$108,826Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108,826Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Munich maximum temperatures on July 12 most likely in the 27–29°C range under partly cloudy skies and modest southerly flow, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 28°C and 29°C. Primary drivers include the strength of high-pressure influence over central Europe, which limits daytime heating compared to recent warmer spells, alongside variable Atlantic moisture and Alpine drainage flows that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing. Historical July averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions track slightly above the 1991–2020 baseline. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold amid typical summer forecast spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions