Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 15 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 15 de julho?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
$2,452 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,487 Vol.
Não
22°C
$3,375 Vol.
Não
23°C
$5,286 Vol.
Não
24°C
$4,476 Vol.
Não
25°C
$9,240 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$6,639 Vol.
Não
27°C
$5,839 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,288 Vol.
Não
29°C
$1,080 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$1,509 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$44,673Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,673Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions