Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 17 de abril?
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 11%
$10,633 Vol.
$10,633 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 28%
34°C 18%
35°C 11%
$10,633 Vol.
$10,633 Vol.
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 33°C high in Panama City at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 32°C (22.5%) and 34°C (18.5%), reflecting tight uncertainty in the latest forecast models from GFS and ECMWF, which cluster peaks between 32–34°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal model shifts after yesterday's observations of 33.2°C, with low wind speeds (under 10 km/h) and high humidity (70–80%) enhancing heat index but sea breeze potential differentiating outcomes—stronger onshore flow could cap at 32°C, while weaker inflows allow 34°C+. Instituto de Meteorología guidance aligns near 33°C; watch afternoon satellite imagery and 00Z model runs for resolution-defining cloud cover. Historical April averages (32°C) provide context, but current upper-level warmth tilts hotter.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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