Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de setembro?
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
18°C ou menos
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
42%
25°C
24%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C ou mais
6%
24°C 42%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$4 Vol.
25%
24°C
$4 Vol.
42%
25°C
$136 Vol.
24%
26°C
$9 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$152Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$152Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models position a 24°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 24, reflecting a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 23–25°C, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns and minimal frontal activity expected through midweek. Traders assign over 70% combined probability to this narrow range, consistent with historical September variability and the absence of significant upstream perturbations that could alter the trajectory. Updated guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these projections ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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