Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF position trader sentiment toward a high of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, with 63% implied probability, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over California promoting sunnier skies and above-normal temperatures after recent cooler days around 62°F on April 13. Upper-level warming and reduced marine layer influence from lighter onshore winds support intensification potential into the upper 60s, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 64–66°F but frequently exceed 68°F under ridge dominance. Lower outcomes like 64–65°F (9%) reflect uncertainty in persistent coastal fog, with new model runs expected overnight potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
68°F or higher 63%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 10%
60-61°F 3.6%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
26%
68°F or higher
63%
68°F or higher 63%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 10%
60-61°F 3.6%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
49°F or below
$975 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$842 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$1,347 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$749 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$939 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$689 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$314 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$407 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$325 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$291 Vol.
26%
68°F or higher
$309 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF position trader sentiment toward a high of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, with 63% implied probability, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over California promoting sunnier skies and above-normal temperatures after recent cooler days around 62°F on April 13. Upper-level warming and reduced marine layer influence from lighter onshore winds support intensification potential into the upper 60s, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 64–66°F but frequently exceed 68°F under ridge dominance. Lower outcomes like 64–65°F (9%) reflect uncertainty in persistent coastal fog, with new model runs expected overnight potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$7,187Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF position trader sentiment toward a high of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, with 63% implied probability, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over California promoting sunnier skies and above-normal temperatures after recent cooler days around 62°F on April 13. Upper-level warming and reduced marine layer influence from lighter onshore winds support intensification potential into the upper 60s, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 64–66°F but frequently exceed 68°F under ridge dominance. Lower outcomes like 64–65°F (9%) reflect uncertainty in persistent coastal fog, with new model runs expected overnight potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,187Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF position trader sentiment toward a high of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, with 63% implied probability, driven by a building high-pressure ridge over California promoting sunnier skies and above-normal temperatures after recent cooler days around 62°F on April 13. Upper-level warming and reduced marine layer influence from lighter onshore winds support intensification potential into the upper 60s, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 64–66°F but frequently exceed 68°F under ridge dominance. Lower outcomes like 64–65°F (9%) reflect uncertainty in persistent coastal fog, with new model runs expected overnight potentially refining probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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