Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo highs on August 2 clustered between 26–29 °C under typical austral winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture advection and light winds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and subtle cloud-cover variations that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 30 °C, anchoring trader probabilities near the 27–29 °C cluster while the modest spread between 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (27.5 %) reflects unresolved model discrepancies that next-day observational updates or refined runs can still resolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de agosto?
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
37%
29°C
28%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
22°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$40 Vol.
1%
25°C
$23 Vol.
2%
26°C
$60 Vol.
7%
27°C
$82 Vol.
22%
28°C
$1,907 Vol.
37%
29°C
$289 Vol.
28%
30°C
$15 Vol.
5%
31°C
$46 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo highs on August 2 clustered between 26–29 °C under typical austral winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture advection and light winds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and subtle cloud-cover variations that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 30 °C, anchoring trader probabilities near the 27–29 °C cluster while the modest spread between 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (27.5 %) reflects unresolved model discrepancies that next-day observational updates or refined runs can still resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,506Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo highs on August 2 clustered between 26–29 °C under typical austral winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture advection and light winds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and subtle cloud-cover variations that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 30 °C, anchoring trader probabilities near the 27–29 °C cluster while the modest spread between 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (27.5 %) reflects unresolved model discrepancies that next-day observational updates or refined runs can still resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,506Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo highs on August 2 clustered between 26–29 °C under typical austral winter high-pressure conditions, with limited moisture advection and light winds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and subtle cloud-cover variations that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 30 °C, anchoring trader probabilities near the 27–29 °C cluster while the modest spread between 28 °C (33.5 %) and 29 °C (27.5 %) reflects unresolved model discrepancies that next-day observational updates or refined runs can still resolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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