Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, matching the tight trader consensus with 29°C (25.5%) and 30°C (24.5%) leading amid above-climatological-average warmth—April highs typically 26-27°C. A strengthening subtropical ridge fosters subsidence for daytime heating, but 40-60% precipitation probabilities for passing showers and partly cloudy conditions per official outlooks create key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 28°C with persistent cloud cover or allowing 31-32°C if skies clear midday. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add 1-2°C variability; new model runs and April 18 observations expected to sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
32°C or higher 30%
29°C 28%
30°C 23%
28°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
20%
32°C or higher 30%
29°C 28%
30°C 23%
28°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
23%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, matching the tight trader consensus with 29°C (25.5%) and 30°C (24.5%) leading amid above-climatological-average warmth—April highs typically 26-27°C. A strengthening subtropical ridge fosters subsidence for daytime heating, but 40-60% precipitation probabilities for passing showers and partly cloudy conditions per official outlooks create key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 28°C with persistent cloud cover or allowing 31-32°C if skies clear midday. Urban heat island effects and sea breezes add 1-2°C variability; new model runs and April 18 observations expected to sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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