Trader consensus on 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12 reflects the prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and moderate El Niño influences, which are driving above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent. National Environment Agency outlooks issued in late July project daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days through mid-August, consistent with recent early-month observations near 32–33°C. These factors position the market-implied probabilities around the upper end of the typical 30–32°C August baseline, with limited upside risk for extremes above 34°C given model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated subseasonal forecasts expected in the coming days could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 12th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 12 de agosto?
32°C 60%
33°C 36%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
60%
33°C
36%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 36%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$351 Vol.
2%
31°C
$762 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,209 Vol.
60%
33°C
$652 Vol.
36%
34°C
$639 Vol.
3%
35°C
$400 Vol.
1%
36°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$425 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12 reflects the prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and moderate El Niño influences, which are driving above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent. National Environment Agency outlooks issued in late July project daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days through mid-August, consistent with recent early-month observations near 32–33°C. These factors position the market-implied probabilities around the upper end of the typical 30–32°C August baseline, with limited upside risk for extremes above 34°C given model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated subseasonal forecasts expected in the coming days could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,080Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12 reflects the prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and moderate El Niño influences, which are driving above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent. National Environment Agency outlooks issued in late July project daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days through mid-August, consistent with recent early-month observations near 32–33°C. These factors position the market-implied probabilities around the upper end of the typical 30–32°C August baseline, with limited upside risk for extremes above 34°C given model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated subseasonal forecasts expected in the coming days could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,080Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 12 reflects the prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and moderate El Niño influences, which are driving above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent. National Environment Agency outlooks issued in late July project daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days through mid-August, consistent with recent early-month observations near 32–33°C. These factors position the market-implied probabilities around the upper end of the typical 30–32°C August baseline, with limited upside risk for extremes above 34°C given model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated subseasonal forecasts expected in the coming days could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 12th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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