Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
No
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
No
32°C
Não
33°C
No
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,565 Vol.
$40,565 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
$722 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,968 Vol.
Não
28°C
$4,282 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,585 Vol.
Não
30°C
$5,062 Vol.
Sim
31°C
$6,269 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,923 Vol.
Não
33°C
$1,000 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,180 Vol.
Não
35°C
$1,020 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$552 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$40,565Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,565Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Tel Aviv’s June 18 maximum near the 29–30 °C threshold under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, creating the narrow spread between these two outcomes that traders currently price almost evenly. Small differences in model timing of the daily maximum, urban heat-island effects at the official station, or slight wind shifts can determine whether the recorded high settles at 29 °C or reaches 30 °C. Updated guidance later today will refine this boundary ahead of the official observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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