Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 26?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,609 Vol.
$53,609 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,609 Vol.
$53,609 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to stable early-summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with Tel Aviv’s June 26 maximum most likely falling in the 29–30 °C range. Coastal sea breezes and moderate subtropical high pressure are expected to cap daytime heating near the long-term June average of roughly 30 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds keep upside risk contained. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, which explains why the 30 °C bucket holds the largest share of trader probability and why outcomes above 32 °C or below 28 °C trade at single-digit levels. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether any slight warming or additional marine-layer cooling shifts these implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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