Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 1º de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 1º de julho?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$106,205 Vol.
$106,205 Vol.
1 jul 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$106,205 Vol.
$106,205 Vol.
1 jul 2026
24°C or below
$19,567 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,471 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,653 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,133 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,837 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,817 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,496 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,115 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$6,769 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,911 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$10,437 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$106,205Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106,205Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts for Wuhan place the July 1 maximum near 29–31 °C amid lingering early-summer monsoon conditions and elevated humidity typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Model consensus shows modest variability driven by the timing and coverage of thundery showers, which can suppress daytime heating, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger insolation. Historical climatology indicates early-July highs averaging 31–33 °C, yet the current spread across 28–32 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in precise steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weight near-term ensemble guidance most heavily, with probabilities clustering where the latest deterministic runs converge while still acknowledging potential for a brief ridge or enhanced convection to shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions