The May 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI release, reported at 54.0 on June 1, anchors the market's near-certain pricing on the 54.0–54.9 range. This 1.3-point rise from April's 52.7 marked the strongest factory-sector expansion since May 2022, driven by faster growth in new orders (56.8) and production (54.3) alongside a narrower contraction in employment. The print exceeded consensus forecasts near 53 amid resilient demand and easing supply constraints, though elevated prices (82.1) and geopolitical factors like tariffs continued to influence survey responses. With resolution imminent, only an unreported revision could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado54.0–54.9 100.0%
<47.0 <1%
47.0–47.9 <1%
48.0–48.9 <1%
$11,035 Vol.
$11,035 Vol.
<47.0
No
47.0–47.9
No
48.0–48.9
No
49.0–49.9
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
Yes
55.0+
No
54.0–54.9 100.0%
<47.0 <1%
47.0–47.9 <1%
48.0–48.9 <1%
$11,035 Vol.
$11,035 Vol.
<47.0
No
47.0–47.9
No
48.0–48.9
No
49.0–49.9
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
Yes
55.0+
No
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: May 28, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The May 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI release, reported at 54.0 on June 1, anchors the market's near-certain pricing on the 54.0–54.9 range. This 1.3-point rise from April's 52.7 marked the strongest factory-sector expansion since May 2022, driven by faster growth in new orders (56.8) and production (54.3) alongside a narrower contraction in employment. The print exceeded consensus forecasts near 53 amid resilient demand and easing supply constraints, though elevated prices (82.1) and geopolitical factors like tariffs continued to influence survey responses. With resolution imminent, only an unreported revision could alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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