Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAdam Hamilton 81%
Damon Anderson 41.4%
Noah Taylor 10.5%
Erik Murray 8.3%
$136,160 Vol.
$136,160 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
74%
Damon Anderson
41%
Noah Taylor
11%
Erik Murray
8%
Jason Hart
4%
Sharice Davids
3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Christy Davis
2%
Patrick Schmidt
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Adam Hamilton 81%
Damon Anderson 41.4%
Noah Taylor 10.5%
Erik Murray 8.3%
$136,160 Vol.
$136,160 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
74%
Damon Anderson
41%
Noah Taylor
11%
Erik Murray
8%
Jason Hart
4%
Sharice Davids
3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Christy Davis
2%
Patrick Schmidt
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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