**President Lee Jae-myung faces low near-term impeachment risk due to the Democratic Party of Korea’s (DPK) firm control of the National Assembly.** With 161 of 300 seats, the ruling party can block any motion, which requires a two-thirds majority (200 votes) to pass. An opposition-led petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 citing suspended criminal cases and alleged conflicts of interest, but it advanced no further because the DPK majority prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent political friction has centered on judicial appointments and Supreme Court nominations rather than direct challenges to Lee’s tenure. Approval ratings hovering near 45% reflect mixed performance on economic and housing issues but show no surge in public or legislative momentum toward removal. Lee’s administration continues routine governance, including anti-corruption initiatives, while structural term limits and the absence of a unifying crisis comparable to the prior president’s removal keep the probability of impeachment before 2027 minimal in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Sim
8% chance
$20,406 Vol.
$20,406 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
8% chance
$20,406 Vol.
$20,406 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces low near-term impeachment risk due to the Democratic Party of Korea’s (DPK) firm control of the National Assembly.** With 161 of 300 seats, the ruling party can block any motion, which requires a two-thirds majority (200 votes) to pass. An opposition-led petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 citing suspended criminal cases and alleged conflicts of interest, but it advanced no further because the DPK majority prevented referral to a plenary vote.
Recent political friction has centered on judicial appointments and Supreme Court nominations rather than direct challenges to Lee’s tenure. Approval ratings hovering near 45% reflect mixed performance on economic and housing issues but show no surge in public or legislative momentum toward removal. Lee’s administration continues routine governance, including anti-corruption initiatives, while structural term limits and the absence of a unifying crisis comparable to the prior president’s removal keep the probability of impeachment before 2027 minimal in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$20,406Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces low near-term impeachment risk due to the Democratic Party of Korea’s (DPK) firm control of the National Assembly.** With 161 of 300 seats, the ruling party can block any motion, which requires a two-thirds majority (200 votes) to pass. An opposition-led petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 citing suspended criminal cases and alleged conflicts of interest, but it advanced no further because the DPK majority prevented referral to a plenary vote.
Recent political friction has centered on judicial appointments and Supreme Court nominations rather than direct challenges to Lee’s tenure. Approval ratings hovering near 45% reflect mixed performance on economic and housing issues but show no surge in public or legislative momentum toward removal. Lee’s administration continues routine governance, including anti-corruption initiatives, while structural term limits and the absence of a unifying crisis comparable to the prior president’s removal keep the probability of impeachment before 2027 minimal in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,406Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung faces low near-term impeachment risk due to the Democratic Party of Korea’s (DPK) firm control of the National Assembly.** With 161 of 300 seats, the ruling party can block any motion, which requires a two-thirds majority (200 votes) to pass. An opposition-led petition collected over 100,000 signatures in June 2026 citing suspended criminal cases and alleged conflicts of interest, but it advanced no further because the DPK majority prevented referral to a plenary vote. Recent political friction has centered on judicial appointments and Supreme Court nominations rather than direct challenges to Lee’s tenure. Approval ratings hovering near 45% reflect mixed performance on economic and housing issues but show no surge in public or legislative momentum toward removal. Lee’s administration continues routine governance, including anti-corruption initiatives, while structural term limits and the absence of a unifying crisis comparable to the prior president’s removal keep the probability of impeachment before 2027 minimal in trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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