South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026, imposing a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional terms including 30 years and shorter prison sentences in related cases. The Supreme Court upheld one conviction in July 2026 while multiple trials and appeals continue. Yoon remains detained at Seoul Detention Center under ongoing warrants. South Korea’s multi-stage appeals process for such high-profile political cases, combined with the severity of the charges, has produced extended timelines that typically exceed one year even before final resolution. Traders therefore assign only an 11 percent chance of release by the end of 2026, reflecting the low probability of swift reversal, bail, or executive clemency amid active proceedings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoYoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Sim
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
Sim
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026, imposing a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional terms including 30 years and shorter prison sentences in related cases. The Supreme Court upheld one conviction in July 2026 while multiple trials and appeals continue. Yoon remains detained at Seoul Detention Center under ongoing warrants. South Korea’s multi-stage appeals process for such high-profile political cases, combined with the severity of the charges, has produced extended timelines that typically exceed one year even before final resolution. Traders therefore assign only an 11 percent chance of release by the end of 2026, reflecting the low probability of swift reversal, bail, or executive clemency amid active proceedings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions