South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while earlier proceedings produced a five-year term for obstructing arrest; the Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on related charges in July 2026. Additional trials continue on separate allegations, and appeals processes for these cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year. With no granted bail, parole eligibility, or presidential pardon announced and structural barriers including ongoing litigation, traders assess a low likelihood of release before 2027, consistent with the 90% implied probability on “No.”
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoYoon fora de custódia antes de 2027?
Sim
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
Sim
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling imposed a life sentence for insurrection, while earlier proceedings produced a five-year term for obstructing arrest; the Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on related charges in July 2026. Additional trials continue on separate allegations, and appeals processes for these cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year. With no granted bail, parole eligibility, or presidential pardon announced and structural barriers including ongoing litigation, traders assess a low likelihood of release before 2027, consistent with the 90% implied probability on “No.”
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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