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icon for Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

icon for Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 40%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 34%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 40%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 34%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$237 Vol.

49%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$23 Vol.

34%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent developments have kept the Abbotsford-Mission by-election tight ahead of the September 26 vote. Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, acclaimed as her party's candidate after Reann Gasper resigned the seat, faces NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest and a new CentreBC entrant in Lakhwinder Jhaj. Multiple Conservative MLAs have recently left Findlay's caucus, creating internal pressure, while Alexis campaigns on health care and housing priorities in the Fraser Valley riding. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, traders see a closely contested outcome where local turnout, candidate visibility, and any late shifts in party support could separate the frontrunners in this short campaign.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$260
Data de Término
26 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://elections.bc.ca/
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Recent developments have kept the Abbotsford-Mission by-election tight ahead of the September 26 vote. Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, acclaimed as her party's candidate after Reann Gasper resigned the seat, faces NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest and a new CentreBC entrant in Lakhwinder Jhaj. Multiple Conservative MLAs have recently left Findlay's caucus, creating internal pressure, while Alexis campaigns on health care and housing priorities in the Fraser Valley riding. With nominations closing September 5 and advance voting set for September 18-23, traders see a closely contested outcome where local turnout, candidate visibility, and any late shifts in party support could separate the frontrunners in this short campaign.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$260
Data de Término
26 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://elections.bc.ca/
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 49%, followed by "Pam Alexis" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pam Alexis" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.