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Mundo·Eleições No Quebeque

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec
Mundo·Eleições No Quebeque

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec

Frédéric Côté 47%

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 45%

Sonia Ziadé 44%

Francine van Winden 28%

Polymarket
NOVO

Frédéric Côté 47%

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 45%

Sonia Ziadé 44%

Francine van Winden 28%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Frédéric Côté

Frédéric Côté

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Sonia Ziadé

Sonia Ziadé

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Francine van Winden

Francine van Winden

$0 Vol.

28%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested 2026 Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the Coalition Avenir Québec amid 42% undecided voters, sustains tight odds for La Prairie. The open riding after long-serving CAQ MNA Christian Dubé’s retirement has drawn candidates including PQ’s Frédéric Côté, CAQ’s Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise, Liberal Sonia Ziadé, and QS’s Francine van Winden. Provincial polling volatility, voter focus on tariffs and economic pressures, and suburban Montreal dynamics keep the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on late-campaign regional swings or turnout among francophone voters.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested 2026 Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the Coalition Avenir Québec amid 42% undecided voters, sustains tight odds for La Prairie. The open riding after long-serving CAQ MNA Christian Dubé’s retirement has drawn candidates including PQ’s Frédéric Côté, CAQ’s Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise, Liberal Sonia Ziadé, and QS’s Francine van Winden. Provincial polling volatility, voter focus on tariffs and economic pressures, and suburban Montreal dynamics keep the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on late-campaign regional swings or turnout among francophone voters.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Frédéric Côté" at 47%, followed by "Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec" is "Frédéric Côté" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de La Prairie Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.